Football · Hungary NB III · 11/10, 11:00

Prediction: Györi ETO II vs Dorogi FC

Team pages: Györi ETO II · Dorogi FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Györi ETO II1.19

Dorogi FC1.7

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Györi ETO II Draw Dorogi FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Györi ETO II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLDDWL

Dorogi FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWWWD

Head-to-head

Györi ETO II 3–1–0 Dorogi FC (4 last)

Dorogi FC1-1Györi ETO II
Györi ETO II2-0Dorogi FC
Györi ETO II2-0Dorogi FC
Györi ETO II6-2Dorogi FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Györi ETO II 1501 · Dorogi FC 1570

	Györi ETO II	Draw	Dorogi FC
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorogi FC (rating 1501 vs 1570).
H2H favours Györi ETO II: 3-1-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Györi ETO II	Dorogi FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.4	4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +8’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Györi ETO II 3–1–0 Dorogi FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Györi ETO II
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	2-0 HT 0-0	Dorogi FC
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	2-0 HT 1-0	Dorogi FC
26/05/24 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	6-2 HT 1-2	Dorogi FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	10	7	3	0	30	9	24
2	Dorogi FC	10	7	2	1	29	8	23
3	FC Tatabanya	10	7	2	1	25	8	23
4	Sarisapi BSE	10	5	2	3	16	16	17
5	Bicskei TC	10	5	0	5	24	23	15
6	MTE 1904	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
7	SC Sopron	10	4	3	3	15	13	15
8	Komarom VSE	10	4	3	3	16	15	15
9	Györi ETO II	10	4	2	4	15	12	14
10	Puskas Academy II	10	4	1	5	19	19	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	10	4	1	5	18	18	13
12	Papai Perutz	10	3	2	5	9	19	11
13	Veszprem FC	10	2	4	4	15	22	10
14	Kiraly SZE	10	1	4	5	11	19	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	10	1	2	7	10	29	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	10	0	2	8	5	30	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Györi ETO II	Dorogi FC
Papai Perutz	1-2 L	2-1 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	3-1 W	2-4 L
Komarom VSE	1-1 D	1-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	0-0 D	7-0 W
Veszprem FC	2-3 L	6-0 W
Kiraly SZE	2-0 W	0-0 D
Balatonalmadi SE	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dorogi FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Györi ETO II

WLLWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
26/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	1	4	W
19/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	13	2	D
29/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	9	4	L
26/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
16/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/07	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Dorogi FC

WWDWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	7	8	D
27/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
29/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
26/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
16/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
12/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
08/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	16	4	W
25/07	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Györi ETO II vs Dorogi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dorogi FC win (49%). Probabilities: Györi ETO II 27%, draw 24%, Dorogi FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Györi ETO II vs Dorogi FC?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Györi ETO II 1.19 · Dorogi FC 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Györi ETO II vs Dorogi FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.