Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bicskei TC vs Papai Perutz

Team pages: Bicskei TC · Papai Perutz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

Bicskei TC2.5

Papai Perutz1.68

1X2

54% 21% 24%

Bicskei TC Draw Papai Perutz

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bicskei TC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWLL

Papai Perutz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLDLW

Head-to-head

Bicskei TC 2–1–0 Papai Perutz (3 last)

Bicskei TC9-0Papai Perutz
Papai Perutz1-1Bicskei TC
Bicskei TC1-0Papai Perutz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bicskei TC 1526 · Papai Perutz 1449

	Bicskei TC	Draw	Papai Perutz
Our model	55%	20%	25%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bicskei TC (rating 1526 vs 1449).
H2H favours Bicskei TC: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bicskei TC	Papai Perutz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.3	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 8	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +14’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bicskei TC 2–1–0 Papai Perutz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	Bicskei TC	9-0 HT 5-0	Papai Perutz
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	1-1 HT 0-1	Bicskei TC
25/10/20 Hungary NB III	Bicskei TC	1-0 HT 0-0	Papai Perutz

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	9	7	2	0	28	7	23
2	FC Tatabanya	10	7	2	1	25	8	23
3	Dorogi FC	9	7	1	1	27	6	22
4	Sarisapi BSE	10	5	2	3	16	16	17
5	Bicskei TC	10	5	0	5	24	23	15
6	MTE 1904	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
7	Komarom VSE	10	4	3	3	16	15	15
8	Györi ETO II	10	4	2	4	15	12	14
9	Puskas Academy II	10	4	1	5	19	19	13
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	10	4	1	5	18	18	13
11	SC Sopron	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
12	Papai Perutz	10	3	2	5	9	19	11
13	Veszprem FC	10	2	4	4	15	22	10
14	Kiraly SZE	10	1	4	5	11	19	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	10	1	2	7	10	29	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	9	0	2	7	5	27	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bicskei TC	Papai Perutz
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Komarom VSE	4-5 L	2-4 L
1908 SZAC Budapest	2-0 W	2-1 W
Veszprem FC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Kiraly SZE	3-1 W	0-1 L
Puskas Academy II	2-1 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bicskei TC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bicskei TC

WLLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
26/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-4	4-5	6	2	L
20/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
05/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	12	8	W
29/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
15/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	6	3	L
08/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/07	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	–	–	W

Papai Perutz

LWDLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
27/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
19/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	2	7	L
26/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
12/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bicskei TC vs Papai Perutz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bicskei TC win (54%). Probabilities: Bicskei TC 54%, draw 21%, Papai Perutz 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bicskei TC vs Papai Perutz?

The model expects 4.18 goals (Bicskei TC 2.5 · Papai Perutz 1.68), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bicskei TC vs Papai Perutz?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.