Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Tatabanya vs Zalaegerszegi TE II

Team pages: FC Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

FC Tatabanya2.89

Zalaegerszegi TE II0.96

1X2

77% 14% 10%

FC Tatabanya Draw Zalaegerszegi TE II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tatabanya 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDWWW

Zalaegerszegi TE II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWDLW

Head-to-head

FC Tatabanya 2–2 Zalaegerszegi TE II (4 last)

FC Tatabanya2-1Zalaegerszegi TE II
Zalaegerszegi TE II1-4FC Tatabanya
Zalaegerszegi TE II3-1FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya1-2Zalaegerszegi TE II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tatabanya 1575 · Zalaegerszegi TE II 1494

	FC Tatabanya	Draw	Zalaegerszegi TE II
Our model	76%	15%	9%
Market	77%	13%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1575 vs 1494).
High corners: 15.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tatabanya	Zalaegerszegi TE II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	4.3 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +2’	1.17	7.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tatabanya 2–0–2 Zalaegerszegi TE II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	2-1 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE II
02/10/22 Hungary NB III	Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-4 HT 1-2	FC Tatabanya
12/05/21 Hungary NB III	Zalaegerszegi TE II	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Tatabanya
01/11/20 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	1-2 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	9	7	2	0	28	7	23
2	FC Tatabanya	10	7	2	1	25	8	23
3	Dorogi FC	9	7	1	1	27	6	22
4	Sarisapi BSE	10	5	2	3	16	16	17
5	Bicskei TC	10	5	0	5	24	23	15
6	MTE 1904	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
7	Komarom VSE	10	4	3	3	16	15	15
8	Györi ETO II	10	4	2	4	15	12	14
9	Puskas Academy II	10	4	1	5	19	19	13
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	10	4	1	5	18	18	13
11	SC Sopron	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
12	Papai Perutz	10	3	2	5	9	19	11
13	Veszprem FC	10	2	4	4	15	22	10
14	Kiraly SZE	10	1	4	5	11	19	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	10	1	2	7	10	29	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	9	0	2	7	5	27	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tatabanya	Zalaegerszegi TE II
Komarom VSE	2-0 W	2-3 L
1908 SZAC Budapest	3-1 W	1-0 W
Veszprem FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Bicskei TC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Puskas Academy II	4-0 W	2-3 L
Györi ETO II	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tatabanya

LWWDWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	13	W
26/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
19/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
09/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
26/07	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Zalaegerszegi TE II

LLWLLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
19/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
05/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
26/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
15/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
25/07	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tatabanya vs Zalaegerszegi TE II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tatabanya win (77%). Probabilities: FC Tatabanya 77%, draw 14%, Zalaegerszegi TE II 10%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tatabanya vs Zalaegerszegi TE II?

The model expects 3.85 goals (FC Tatabanya 2.89 · Zalaegerszegi TE II 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tatabanya vs Zalaegerszegi TE II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.