Football · Paraguay Women League · 16/07, 17:30
Prediction: Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Sportivo Ameliano (W)1.68
Rubio Nu (W)1.94
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Draw
Rubio Nu (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Rubio Nu (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
0–1–0
Rubio Nu (W)
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1384 · Rubio Nu (W) 1433
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Draw | Rubio Nu (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rubio Nu (W) (rating 1384 vs 1433).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Rubio Nu (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.9 | 0.8 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 0–1–0 Rubio Nu (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 Paraguay Women League | Rubio Nu (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 9 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Rubio Nu (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-10 L | 0-7 L |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 0-7 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Rubio Nu (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-5 | 0-10 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/03 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
Rubio Nu (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/06 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rubio Nu (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Sportivo Ameliano (W) 32%, draw 25%, Rubio Nu (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1.68 · Rubio Nu (W) 1.94), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.