Football · Paraguay Women League · 22/07, 17:45
Prediction: 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
2 de Mayo (W)2.56
Sportivo Luqueno (W)1.28
1X2
2 de Mayo (W)
Draw
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
2 de Mayo (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
2 de Mayo (W)
5–1
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo (W) 1440 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1404
| 2 de Mayo (W) | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours 2 de Mayo (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 2 de Mayo (W) | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 0.6 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/11/56% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo (W) 5–0–1 Sportivo Luqueno (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 08/06/25 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 1-0 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
| 17/03/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 28/10/24 Paraguay Copa EFE Women | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 20/07/24 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
| 19/06/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 65 | 6 | 35 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 19 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 9 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 9 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 2 de Mayo (W) | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-11 L | 0-9 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 2-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-11 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-6 | 0-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a 2 de Mayo (W) win (64%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo (W) 64%, draw 19%, Sportivo Luqueno (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
The model expects 3.83 goals (2 de Mayo (W) 2.56 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.