Football · Paraguay Women League · 22/07, 19:45

Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Club Guarani (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Olimpia Asuncion (W)2.85

Club Guarani (W)0.85

1X2

81% 13% 7%

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Draw Club Guarani (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpia Asuncion (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Club Guarani (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Olimpia Asuncion (W) 6–0 Club Guarani (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1633 · Club Guarani (W) 1558

	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	Draw	Club Guarani (W)
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	84%	11%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (W) (rating 1633 vs 1558).
H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	Club Guarani (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4.6 / 0.1	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 7.2	3.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.11

X8.50

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.93

2 (+2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:56 +5’	1.11	8.50	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 6–0–0 Club Guarani (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Paraguay Women League	Club Guarani (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
13/12/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Club Guarani (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
29/04/25 Paraguay Women League	Club Guarani (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
02/02/25 Paraguay Women League	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Guarani (W)
22/07/24 Paraguay Women League	Club Guarani (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
06/05/24 Paraguay Women League	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Guarani (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	13	11	2	0	65	6	35
2	Club Guarani (W)	12	9	2	1	26	11	29
3	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	10	8	2	0	46	1	26
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	13	7	3	3	42	10	24
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	13	6	1	6	35	30	19
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	14	6	1	7	23	29	19
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	12	4	2	6	17	28	14
9	2 de Mayo (W)	12	3	0	9	17	39	9
10	Rubio Nu (W)	12	2	3	7	10	34	9
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	12	1	2	9	6	47	5
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	12	0	2	10	7	58	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	Club Guarani (W)
2 de Mayo (W)	5-0 W	4-2 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	7-0 W	5-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	7-0 W	3-2 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	10-0 W	2-0 W
Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Cerro Porteno (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Nacional-Humaita (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
05/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	3-0	2	8	W
27/06	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	7-0	15	1	W
23/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	7-0	9	2	W
17/05	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	5-0	10-0	9	1	W
10/05	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
03/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
25/04	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	7-0	8	2	W
19/04	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	3-0	6	4	W
21/03	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	3-0	7	3	W

Club Guarani (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
05/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	4	8	L
28/06	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
30/05	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
23/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
17/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	–	4-2	–	–	W
01/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
26/04	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-2	4	3	W
19/04	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion (W) 81%, draw 13%, Club Guarani (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Olimpia Asuncion (W) 2.85 · Club Guarani (W) 0.85), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.