Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/07, 15:00
Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs 3 de Noviembre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Encarnacion FC1.39
3 de Noviembre1.14
1X2
Encarnacion FC
Draw
3 de Noviembre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Encarnacion FC
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
3 de Noviembre
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1408 · 3 de Noviembre 1437
| Encarnacion FC | Draw | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Encarnacion FC | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 6 / 0.5 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Capiata | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Encarnacion FC | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| General Caballero JLM | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Guairena FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Resistencia FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sol de America | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Capiata | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente FBC | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Encarnacion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/07 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/06 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/06 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs 3 de Noviembre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Encarnacion FC win (42%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 42%, draw 29%, 3 de Noviembre 30%.
How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.39 · 3 de Noviembre 1.14), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.