Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 27/07, 20:00

Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.7

Guairena FC0.94

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Guairena FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0 Guairena FC (1 last)

Guairena FC0-4Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1594 · Guairena FC 1507

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (rating 1594 vs 1507).
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	3.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	5 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:33 +8’	1.65	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0–0 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-4 HT 0-3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	15	10	3	2	22	11	33
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	15	9	4	2	26	13	31
3	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
4	General Caballero JLM	15	8	3	4	30	21	27
5	Sol de America	15	5	8	2	18	13	23
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
7	Deportivo Capiata	15	5	7	3	21	18	22
8	Guairena FC	15	6	3	6	17	19	21
9	Independiente FBC	15	5	5	5	23	22	20
10	Carapegua	15	5	4	6	18	27	19
11	Resistencia FC	15	4	6	5	16	20	18
12	Fernando de la Mora	15	5	3	7	18	24	18
13	Tacuary	15	2	8	5	19	23	14
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	15	3	2	10	15	23	11
16	3 de Noviembre	15	0	7	8	13	26	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Guairena FC
Resistencia FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Paraguari AC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Carapegua	2-0 W	1-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	10 de Julio Presidente Hayes Paraguay Cup	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
18/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
07/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
30/06	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
06/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	7	W
30/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	3-4	10	8	L
25/05	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
21/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
16/05	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	2	7	W

Guairena FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Cup	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
01/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	12	8	L
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
01/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
26/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
20/05	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
16/05	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (54%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 54%, draw 26%, Guairena FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.7 · Guairena FC 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.