Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 28/07, 01:00

Prediction: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs 3 de Noviembre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.85

3 de Noviembre0.73

1X2

63% 23% 13%

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Draw 3 de Noviembre

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWWWD

3 de Noviembre 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 0–1–0 3 de Noviembre (1 last)

3 de Noviembre1-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1545 · 3 de Noviembre 1423

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Draw	3 de Noviembre
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	64%	23%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1545 vs 1423).
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	3 de Noviembre
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.5	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.90

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	9.00 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +12’	1.28	4.33	9.00
19:52 +12’	1.40▲	3.90▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 0–1–0 3 de Noviembre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	3 de Noviembre	1-1 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	15	10	3	2	22	11	33
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	15	9	4	2	26	13	31
3	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
4	General Caballero JLM	15	8	3	4	30	21	27
5	Sol de America	15	5	8	2	18	13	23
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
7	Deportivo Capiata	15	5	7	3	21	18	22
8	Guairena FC	15	6	3	6	17	19	21
9	Independiente FBC	15	5	5	5	23	22	20
10	Carapegua	15	5	4	6	18	27	19
11	Resistencia FC	15	4	6	5	16	20	18
12	Fernando de la Mora	15	5	3	7	18	24	18
13	Tacuary	15	2	8	5	19	23	14
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	15	3	2	10	15	23	11
16	3 de Noviembre	15	0	7	8	13	26	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	3 de Noviembre
General Caballero JLM	1-0 W	2-3 L
Guairena FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Resistencia FC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Sol de America	0-1 L	0-2 L
Deportivo Capiata	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-1	3-2	5	9	W
28/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
07/06	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
24/05	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	8	5	D
20/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	9	W
16/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	3	7	L

3 de Noviembre

DLDLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
14/07	Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Cup	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
11/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
03/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-2	5	9	D
28/06	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/06	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	1	9	L
01/06	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
24/05	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	10	D
20/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	10	7	L
14/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs 3 de Noviembre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (63%). Probabilities: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 63%, draw 23%, 3 de Noviembre 13%.

How many goals are expected in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model expects 2.58 goals (12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.85 · 3 de Noviembre 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.