Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 21/07, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs Fernando de la Mora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Deportivo Santaní1.7
Fernando de la Mora0.89
1X2
Deportivo Santaní
Draw
Fernando de la Mora
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Santaní
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Fernando de la Mora
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Santaní
3–2–1
Fernando de la Mora
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1587 · Fernando de la Mora 1498
| Deportivo Santaní | Draw | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1587 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Santaní | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.8 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 3–2–1 Fernando de la Mora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Santaní |
| 11/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fernando de la Mora |
| 03/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Santaní |
| 26/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fernando de la Mora |
| 06/10/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fernando de la Mora |
| 01/07/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Santaní |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Capiata | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Santaní | Fernando de la Mora |
|---|---|---|
| 3 de Noviembre | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| General Caballero JLM | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Guairena FC | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Resistencia FC | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Sol de America | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Capiata | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Independiente FBC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tacuary | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Santaní
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/06 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 9 | L |
Fernando de la Mora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Cup |
5-0 | 11-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 27/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs Fernando de la Mora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 56%, draw 26%, Fernando de la Mora 19%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs Fernando de la Mora?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Deportivo Santaní 1.7 · Fernando de la Mora 0.89), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Fernando de la Mora?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.