Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 20/07, 22:00
Prediction: Tacuary vs Deportivo Capiata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Tacuary1.24
Deportivo Capiata1.43
1X2
Tacuary
Draw
Deportivo Capiata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tacuary
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Capiata
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tacuary
0–3–1
Deportivo Capiata
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tacuary 1508 · Deportivo Capiata 1506
| Tacuary | Draw | Deportivo Capiata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tacuary | Deportivo Capiata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.8 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 0–3–1 Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tacuary |
| 13/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 16/08/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tacuary |
| 09/05/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Capiata | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tacuary | Deportivo Capiata |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Carapegua | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Encarnacion FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Fernando de la Mora | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tacuary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Deportivo Capiata?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Capiata win (40%). Probabilities: Tacuary 32%, draw 28%, Deportivo Capiata 40%.
How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Deportivo Capiata?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Tacuary 1.24 · Deportivo Capiata 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Deportivo Capiata?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.