Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00
Prediction: NK Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola
Team pages: NK Sobec Lesce · MNK Izola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
NK Sobec Lesce1.3
MNK Izola2.14
1X2
NK Sobec Lesce
Draw
MNK Izola
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Sobec Lesce
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
MNK Izola
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Sobec Lesce
0–2–3
MNK Izola
(5 last)
- MNK Izola2-1NK Sobec Lesce
- NK Sobec Lesce0-2MNK Izola
- MNK Izola0-0NK Sobec Lesce
- NK Sobec Lesce2-3MNK Izola
- NK Sobec Lesce0-0MNK Izola
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MNK Izola (rating 1423 vs 1605).
- H2H favours MNK Izola: 3-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Sobec Lesce | MNK Izola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 4.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 6 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Sobec Lesce 0–2–3 MNK Izola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Slovenia 3. SNL | MNK Izola | 2-1 | NK Sobec Lesce |
| 02/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Sobec Lesce | 0-2 | MNK Izola |
| 20/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL | MNK Izola | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Sobec Lesce |
| 23/03/24 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Sobec Lesce | 2-3 HT 0-1 | MNK Izola |
| 18/09/21 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Sobec Lesce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MNK Izola |
Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNK Izola | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Roltek DOB | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | ND Idrija | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | NK Tolmin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | NK Litija | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | NK Sencur | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | NK Rudar Trbovlje | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 16 |
| 8 | NK Skofja Loka | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | NK Adria Miren | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 13 |
| 10 | NK Ziri | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 11 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | NK Fama Vipava | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 7 |
| 13 | NK Sobec Lesce | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 7 |
| 14 | Svoboda Ljubljana | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Sobec Lesce | MNK Izola |
|---|---|---|
| NK Ziri | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| NK Skofja Loka | 0-1 L | 6-0 W |
| NK Tolmin | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| NK Sencur | 0-0 D | 5-2 W |
| Roltek DOB | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| NK Fama Vipava | 2-3 L | 11-0 W |
| NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| ND Idrija | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 8 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: MNK Izola (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Sobec Lesce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/10 | NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
MNK Izola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/10 | Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 11-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-1 | 4-1 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 11-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MNK Izola win (56%). Probabilities: NK Sobec Lesce 22%, draw 22%, MNK Izola 56%.
How many goals are expected in NK Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola?
The model expects 3.44 goals (NK Sobec Lesce 1.3 · MNK Izola 2.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.