Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Litija vs NK Ziri

Team pages: NK Litija · NK Ziri

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
NK Litija1.68
NK Ziri1.13
1X2
50% 24% 25%
NK Litija Draw NK Ziri
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Litija 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWWDWL
NK Ziri 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Litija 1531 · NK Ziri 1460
NK LitijaDrawNK Ziri
Our model49%26%24%
Market51%23%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Litija (rating 1531 vs 1460).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK LitijaNK Ziri
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.71 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.41 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4.8 / 7.22 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 05.5 / 0

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MNK Izola 121110 54934
2 Roltek DOB 12831 31927
3 ND Idrija 12813 201425
4 NK Tolmin 12633 241521
5 NK Litija 12633 261121
6 NK Sencur 12543 222119
7 NK Rudar Trbovlje 12516 173216
8 NK Skofja Loka 12435 182415
9 NK Adria Miren 12417 252613
10 NK Ziri 12345 141513
11 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 12336 122012
12 NK Fama Vipava 12219 16517
13 NK Sobec Lesce 12147 7197
14 Svoboda Ljubljana 12129 7275

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK LitijaNK Ziri
NK Tolmin 0-2 L 2-4 L
NK Skofja Loka 3-1 W 1-1 D
Roltek DOB 1-1 D 0-3 L
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3-0 W 0-0 D
NK Sobec Lesce 1-1 D 2-0 W
ND Idrija 0-0 D 0-1 L
Svoboda Ljubljana 3-0 W 3-0 W
NK Rudar Trbovlje 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NK Litija (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Litija

LWDDWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/11 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-2 65 L
31/10 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-1 75 W
10/10 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 1-1 57 D
04/10 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 4-0 –– W
26/09 NK Adria Miren
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-0 –– W
19/09 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 3-0 91 W
12/09 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D
05/09 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-0 –– D
30/08 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-0 92 W
22/08 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L

NK Ziri

LDLDDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 2-0 56 W
24/10 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-1 –– L
17/10 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-0 –– W
10/10 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
03/10 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
27/09 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-0 –– D
20/09 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 2-4 25 L
04/09 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-0 –– D
29/08 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Litija vs NK Ziri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Litija win (50%). Probabilities: NK Litija 50%, draw 24%, NK Ziri 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Litija vs NK Ziri?

The model expects 2.81 goals (NK Litija 1.68 · NK Ziri 1.13), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Litija vs NK Ziri?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.