Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Litija vs MNK Izola

Team pages: NK Litija · MNK Izola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

NK Litija1.7

MNK Izola1.76

1X2

37% 24% 39%

NK Litija Draw MNK Izola

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Litija 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDWLW

MNK Izola 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

NK Litija 0–1 MNK Izola (1 last)

MNK Izola4-0NK Litija

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MNK Izola (rating 1543 vs 1607).
High corners: 15.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Litija	MNK Izola
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.5	3.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	5 / 7.5	6 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.66 → 2.66	Pinn 2.66
X	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73
2	2.11 → 2.11	Pinn 2.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +2’	2.66	3.73	2.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Litija 0–0–1 MNK Izola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	MNK Izola	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Litija

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	13	12	1	0	58	10	37
2	Roltek DOB	13	9	3	1	33	9	30
3	ND Idrija	13	9	1	3	24	14	28
4	NK Tolmin	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	NK Litija	13	7	3	3	30	11	24
6	NK Sencur	13	5	4	4	22	23	19
7	NK Skofja Loka	13	5	3	5	20	25	18
8	NK Rudar Trbovlje	13	5	1	7	17	36	16
9	NK Adria Miren	13	4	1	8	26	28	13
10	NK Ziri	13	3	4	6	14	19	13
11	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	13	3	3	7	12	24	12
12	Svoboda Ljubljana	13	2	2	9	11	27	8
13	NK Fama Vipava	13	2	1	10	16	52	7
14	NK Sobec Lesce	13	1	4	8	8	23	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Litija	MNK Izola
NK Ziri	4-0 W	2-1 W
NK Tolmin	0-2 L	1-0 W
NK Skofja Loka	3-1 W	6-0 W
Roltek DOB	1-1 D	3-0 W
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	3-0 W	4-1 W
NK Sobec Lesce	1-1 D	4-1 W
ND Idrija	0-0 D	2-1 W
Svoboda Ljubljana	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MNK Izola (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Litija

WDDWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	4-0	9	6	W
04/11	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
31/10	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
10/10	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
04/10	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
19/09	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	3-0	9	1	W
12/09	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-0	9	2	W

MNK Izola

WWWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/10	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/10	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	5	5	D
17/10	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	11-1	–	–	W
10/10	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-1	16	3	W
03/10	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
05/09	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	3-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Litija vs MNK Izola?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MNK Izola win (39%). Probabilities: NK Litija 37%, draw 24%, MNK Izola 39%.

How many goals are expected in NK Litija vs MNK Izola?

The model expects 3.45 goals (NK Litija 1.7 · MNK Izola 1.76), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Litija vs MNK Izola?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.