Prediction: Piratas vs Oaxaca
Team pages: Oaxaca
| Piratas | Draw | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piratas (rating 1517 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Piratas | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 1 | 5.2 / 0.6 |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Universidad Guadalajara | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Piratas | Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Venados FC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Cancun FC | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Club Atletico La Paz | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Alacranes de Durango | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Morelia | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Piratas (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piratas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 11/09 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/09 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 26/07 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piratas vs Oaxaca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Piratas win (65%). Probabilities: Piratas 65%, draw 22%, Oaxaca 13%.
How many goals are expected in Piratas vs Oaxaca?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Piratas 1.86 · Oaxaca 0.7), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Piratas vs Oaxaca?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.