Prediction: Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes de Durango
Team pages: Jaiba Brava · Alacranes de Durango
| Jaiba Brava | Draw | Alacranes de Durango | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alacranes de Durango (rating 1457 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jaiba Brava | Alacranes de Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0.8 |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Club Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Oaxaca | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jaiba Brava | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Dorados | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Tlaxcala FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Oaxaca | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alacranes de Durango (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaiba Brava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
Alacranes de Durango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 18/09 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 11/09 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes de Durango?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jaiba Brava win (45%). Probabilities: Jaiba Brava 45%, draw 29%, Alacranes de Durango 26%.
How many goals are expected in Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes de Durango?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Jaiba Brava 1.34 · Alacranes de Durango 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes de Durango?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.