Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: SD Videm vs NK Korotan Prevalje

Team pages: SD Videm · NK Korotan Prevalje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

SD Videm2.23

NK Korotan Prevalje1.57

1X2

52% 22% 26%

SD Videm Draw NK Korotan Prevalje

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SD Videm 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWWLW

NK Korotan Prevalje 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLWWL

Head-to-head

SD Videm 3–2–1 NK Korotan Prevalje (6 last)

NK Korotan Prevalje4-2SD Videm
NK Korotan Prevalje2-5SD Videm
SD Videm4-0NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Korotan Prevalje1-1SD Videm
NK Korotan Prevalje1-1SD Videm
SD Videm2-0NK Korotan Prevalje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Videm 1513 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1478

	SD Videm	Draw	NK Korotan Prevalje
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SD Videm: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Videm	NK Korotan Prevalje
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +28’	1.75	3.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Videm 3–2–1 NK Korotan Prevalje

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	4-2	SD Videm
09/05/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	2-5	SD Videm
26/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	SD Videm	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Korotan Prevalje
23/08/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	1-1 HT 1-0	SD Videm
18/11/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	1-1 HT 0-1	SD Videm
30/08/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	SD Videm	2-0 HT 2-0	NK Korotan Prevalje

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	13	10	2	1	40	14	32
2	NK Ormoz	13	9	1	3	32	19	28
3	NK Fuzinar	13	8	1	4	40	25	25
4	NK Smartno	13	7	2	4	32	29	23
5	NK Podvinci	13	7	2	4	23	22	23
6	SD Videm	13	6	2	5	24	24	20
7	NK Race	13	4	6	3	13	11	18
8	NK Carda	13	5	3	5	27	26	18
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	13	4	5	4	21	20	17
10	NK Hajdina	13	4	4	5	19	24	16
11	NK Dobrovce	13	3	1	9	18	33	10
12	NK Ljutomer	13	2	3	8	14	25	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	13	2	3	8	15	31	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	13	1	3	9	12	27	6
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Videm	NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Limbus Pekre	3-2 W	3-1 W
NK Ormoz	1-3 L	1-4 L
NK Ljutomer	3-0 W	1-1 D
NK Podvinci	2-0 W	0-2 L
NK Sampion Celje	1-0 W	3-0 W
NK Carda	1-2 L	1-1 D
NK Hajdina	2-2 D	3-1 W
NK Odranci	3-3 D	1-3 L
NK Dobrovce	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Videm

LWDDLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-2	8	2	W
31/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
28/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-2	6	6	D
20/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
11/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
06/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-3	7	4	L

NK Korotan Prevalje

DLDWDLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-4	5	10	L
31/10	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
17/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
03/10	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
19/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Videm vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Videm win (52%). Probabilities: SD Videm 52%, draw 22%, NK Korotan Prevalje 26%.

How many goals are expected in SD Videm vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model expects 3.8 goals (SD Videm 2.23 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1.57), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Videm vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.