Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Ormoz vs NK Korotan Prevalje

Team pages: NK Ormoz · NK Korotan Prevalje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

NK Ormoz1.93

NK Korotan Prevalje1.13

1X2

55% 23% 21%

NK Ormoz Draw NK Korotan Prevalje

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Ormoz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLWWW

NK Korotan Prevalje 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWDLLWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Ormoz 1531 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1494

	NK Ormoz	Draw	NK Korotan Prevalje
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Ormoz	NK Korotan Prevalje
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/50/33%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +11’	1.60	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	12	9	2	1	36	13	29
2	NK Ormoz	12	8	1	3	28	18	25
3	NK Fuzinar	12	7	1	4	36	25	22
4	NK Podvinci	12	6	2	4	21	21	20
5	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27	28	19
6	NK Carda	12	5	3	4	26	22	18
7	NK Korotan Prevalje	12	4	5	3	20	16	17
8	SD Videm	12	5	2	5	21	22	17
9	NK Race	12	4	5	3	13	11	17
10	NK Hajdina	12	4	4	4	19	20	16
11	NK Dobrovce	12	3	1	8	17	31	10
12	NK Ljutomer	12	2	3	7	14	21	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	12	2	3	7	13	28	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	11	1	1	9	11	26	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Ormoz	NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Hajdina	2-0 W	3-1 W
NK Sampion Celje	2-0 W	3-0 W
NK Odranci	0-3 L	1-3 L
NK Dobrovce	4-3 W	0-1 L
NK Fuzinar	3-4 L	4-4 D
NK Limbus Pekre	4-0 W	3-1 W
NK Ljutomer	1-1 D	1-1 D
NK Podvinci	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Korotan Prevalje (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Ormoz

WLDWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
28/10	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
17/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
26/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-4	1	9	L
19/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
05/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

NK Korotan Prevalje

DDLDWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
17/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
03/10	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
19/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	Carda Martjanci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
26/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Ormoz vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Ormoz win (55%). Probabilities: NK Ormoz 55%, draw 23%, NK Korotan Prevalje 21%.

How many goals are expected in NK Ormoz vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model expects 3.06 goals (NK Ormoz 1.93 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Ormoz vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.