Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Hajdina vs NK Smartno

Team pages: NK Hajdina · NK Smartno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

NK Hajdina2.02

NK Smartno1.68

1X2

45% 23% 31%

NK Hajdina Draw NK Smartno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Hajdina 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWDWLL

NK Smartno 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

NK Hajdina 2–2–1 NK Smartno (5 last)

NK Smartno1-0NK Hajdina
NK Hajdina3-3NK Smartno
NK Smartno1-1NK Hajdina
NK Hajdina6-3NK Smartno
NK Smartno0-1NK Hajdina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Hajdina 1481 · NK Smartno 1527

	NK Hajdina	Draw	NK Smartno
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Smartno (rating 1481 vs 1527).
H2H favours NK Hajdina: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Hajdina	NK Smartno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	2.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:01 +24’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Hajdina 2–2–1 NK Smartno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Smartno	1-0 HT 0-0	NK Hajdina
13/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Hajdina	3-3	NK Smartno
06/04/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Smartno	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Hajdina
21/09/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Hajdina	6-3 HT 5-2	NK Smartno
11/11/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Smartno	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Hajdina

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	12	9	2	1	36	13	29
2	NK Ormoz	12	8	1	3	28	18	25
3	NK Fuzinar	12	7	1	4	36	25	22
4	NK Podvinci	12	6	2	4	21	21	20
5	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27	28	19
6	NK Carda	12	5	3	4	26	22	18
7	NK Korotan Prevalje	12	4	5	3	20	16	17
8	SD Videm	12	5	2	5	21	22	17
9	NK Race	12	4	5	3	13	11	17
10	NK Hajdina	12	4	4	4	19	20	16
11	NK Dobrovce	12	3	1	8	17	31	10
12	NK Ljutomer	12	2	3	7	14	21	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	12	2	3	7	13	28	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	11	1	1	9	11	26	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Hajdina	NK Smartno
NK Korotan Prevalje	1-3 L	0-0 D
NK Odranci	0-0 D	0-6 L
NK Dobrovce	3-0 W	4-3 W
SD Videm	2-2 D	3-0 W
NK Fuzinar	2-4 L	1-5 L
NK Limbus Pekre	1-1 D	4-0 W
NK Ljutomer	3-1 W	2-1 W
NK Podvinci	1-4 L	8-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Hajdina

LWDLDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-2	9	5	L
10/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
03/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
30/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
23/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	2-2	1	6	D
19/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-1	8	6	W
30/08	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-4	2	2	L

NK Smartno

DWWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-3	0-6	4	1	L
17/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-3	4	5	W
10/10	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-5	–	–	L
03/10	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	8-1	5	4	W
12/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	0-5	1-7	2	4	L
05/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
22/08	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Hajdina vs NK Smartno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Hajdina win (45%). Probabilities: NK Hajdina 45%, draw 23%, NK Smartno 31%.

How many goals are expected in NK Hajdina vs NK Smartno?

The model expects 3.7 goals (NK Hajdina 2.02 · NK Smartno 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Hajdina vs NK Smartno?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.