Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Race vs NK Sampion Celje

Team pages: NK Race · NK Sampion Celje

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
NK Race2.08
NK Sampion Celje0.66
1X2
71% 18% 11%
NK Race Draw NK Sampion Celje
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Race 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLLDWWDWDW
NK Sampion Celje 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
NK Race 0–1–0 NK Sampion Celje (1 last)
  • NK Race2-2NK Sampion Celje
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Race 1559 · NK Sampion Celje 1398
NK RaceDrawNK Sampion Celje
Our model70%21%10%
Market72%16%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Race (rating 1559 vs 1398).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK RaceNK Sampion Celje
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.80.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/67/0%0/17/83%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.33.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.14.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Race 0–1–0 NK Sampion Celje

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/09/22
Slovenia 3. SNL
NK Race2-2
HT 0-0
NK Sampion Celje

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Odranci 12921 361329
2 NK Ormoz 12813 281825
3 NK Fuzinar 12714 362522
4 NK Podvinci 12624 212120
5 NK Smartno 11614 272819
6 NK Carda 12534 262218
7 NK Korotan Prevalje 12453 201617
8 SD Videm 12525 212217
9 NK Race 12453 131117
10 NK Hajdina 12444 192016
11 NK Dobrovce 12318 173110
12 NK Ljutomer 12237 14219
13 NK Limbus Pekre 12237 13289
14 NK Sampion Celje 11119 11264
15 DNS Zavrc 0000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK RaceNK Sampion Celje
NK Odranci 1-0 W 1-5 L
NK Dobrovce 1-1 D 0-2 L
NK Fuzinar 1-0 W 3-4 L
NK Limbus Pekre 1-1 D 4-0 W
NK Ljutomer 2-0 W 0-3 L
NK Podvinci 1-0 W 1-1 D
SD Videm 1-2 L 0-1 L
NK Korotan Prevalje 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: NK Race (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Race

DLLDWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 NK Odranci
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 1-0 310 W
28/10 NK Dobrovce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-1 45 D
17/10 NK Fuzinar
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-0 64 W
10/10 NK Limbus Pekre
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-1 42 D
03/10 NK Ljutomer
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 2-0 45 W
26/09 NK Podvinci
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-0 55 W
19/09 NK Carda
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 2-2 37 D
11/09 SD Videm
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-2 43 L
05/09 NK Smartno
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
26/08 NK Korotan Prevalje
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-0 65 D

NK Sampion Celje

DLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/10 NK Korotan Prevalje
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 0-3 44 L
17/10 NK Ormoz
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-2 –– L
10/10 NK Hajdina
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-2 49 L
04/10 SD Videm
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-1 63 L
27/09 NK Odranci
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-5 –– L
19/09 NK Dobrovce
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-2 55 L
12/09 NK Fuzinar
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-4 –– L
05/09 NK Limbus Pekre
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 4-0 –– W
29/08 NK Ljutomer
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 0-3 34 L
22/08 NK Podvinci
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-1 143 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Race vs NK Sampion Celje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Race win (71%). Probabilities: NK Race 71%, draw 18%, NK Sampion Celje 11%.

How many goals are expected in NK Race vs NK Sampion Celje?

The model expects 2.74 goals (NK Race 2.08 · NK Sampion Celje 0.66), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Race vs NK Sampion Celje?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.