Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: SD Videm vs NK Ormoz

Team pages: SD Videm · NK Ormoz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

SD Videm1.61

NK Ormoz1.73

1X2

35% 24% 40%

SD Videm Draw NK Ormoz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SD Videm 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDLWWW

NK Ormoz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLWLWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Videm 1510 · NK Ormoz 1519

	SD Videm	Draw	NK Ormoz
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Videm	NK Ormoz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +16’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	11	9	2	0	36	12	29
2	NK Fuzinar	11	7	1	3	35	22	22
3	NK Ormoz	11	7	1	3	25	17	22
4	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27	28	19
5	SD Videm	11	5	2	4	20	19	17
6	NK Podvinci	11	5	2	4	18	20	17
7	NK Hajdina	11	4	4	3	18	17	16
8	NK Carda	11	4	3	4	23	21	15
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	11	3	5	3	17	15	14
10	NK Race	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
11	NK Dobrovce	11	3	1	7	16	28	10
12	NK Ljutomer	11	2	2	7	12	19	8
13	NK Limbus Pekre	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
14	NK Sampion Celje	11	1	1	9	11	26	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Videm	NK Ormoz
NK Ljutomer	3-0 W	1-1 D
NK Podvinci	2-0 W	0-2 L
NK Sampion Celje	1-0 W	2-0 W
NK Carda	1-2 L	3-1 W
NK Hajdina	2-2 D	2-0 W
NK Odranci	3-3 D	0-3 L
NK Race	2-1 W	2-1 W
NK Dobrovce	2-3 L	4-3 W
NK Fuzinar	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Videm

WLLWDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-2	6	6	D
20/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
11/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
06/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
29/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
23/08	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	1	7	W

NK Ormoz

WWLDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
17/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
26/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-4	1	9	L
19/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
05/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Videm vs NK Ormoz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Ormoz win (40%). Probabilities: SD Videm 35%, draw 24%, NK Ormoz 40%.

How many goals are expected in SD Videm vs NK Ormoz?

The model expects 3.34 goals (SD Videm 1.61 · NK Ormoz 1.73), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Videm vs NK Ormoz?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.