Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Race vs NK Odranci

Team pages: NK Race · NK Odranci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
NK Race0.78
NK Odranci2.26
1X2
11% 19% 70%
NK Race Draw NK Odranci
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Race 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWWDWD
NK Odranci 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Race 1541 · NK Odranci 1615
NK RaceDrawNK Odranci
Our model11%19%70%
Market11%18%71%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Odranci (rating 1541 vs 1615).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK RaceNK Odranci
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 13.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.31.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/75/0%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 4.52.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.15.8 / 0

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Odranci 11920 361229
2 NK Fuzinar 11713 352222
3 NK Ormoz 11713 251722
4 NK Smartno 11614 272819
5 SD Videm 11524 201917
6 NK Podvinci 11524 182017
7 NK Hajdina 11443 181716
8 NK Carda 11434 232115
9 NK Korotan Prevalje 11353 171514
10 NK Race 11353 121114
11 NK Dobrovce 11317 162810
12 NK Ljutomer 11227 12198
13 NK Limbus Pekre 11227 11268
14 NK Sampion Celje 11119 11264
15 DNS Zavrc 0000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK RaceNK Odranci
NK Dobrovce 1-1 D 3-1 W
NK Fuzinar 1-0 W 5-3 W
NK Limbus Pekre 1-1 D 2-1 W
NK Ljutomer 2-0 W 3-1 W
SD Videm 1-2 L 3-3 D
NK Smartno 1-2 L 6-0 W
NK Korotan Prevalje 0-0 D 3-1 W
NK Ormoz 1-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NK Odranci (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Race

LDLLDWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/10 NK Dobrovce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-1 45 D
17/10 NK Fuzinar
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-0 64 W
10/10 NK Limbus Pekre
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-1 42 D
03/10 NK Ljutomer
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 2-0 45 W
26/09 NK Podvinci
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-0 55 W
19/09 NK Carda
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 2-2 37 D
11/09 SD Videm
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-2 43 L
05/09 NK Smartno
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
26/08 NK Korotan Prevalje
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-0 65 D
22/08 NK Ormoz
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L

NK Odranci

WWWWDWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/10 NK Smartno
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-0 6-0 71 W
17/10 NK Korotan Prevalje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-1 –– W
10/10 NK Ormoz
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-0 –– W
03/10 NK Hajdina
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-0 55 D
27/09 NK Sampion Celje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 5-1 –– W
20/09 SD Videm
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-1 3-3 74 D
12/09 NK Dobrovce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-1 37 W
06/09 NK Fuzinar
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 5-3 –– W
29/08 NK Limbus Pekre
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 2-1 –– W
22/08 NK Ljutomer
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 3-1 412 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Race vs NK Odranci?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Odranci win (70%). Probabilities: NK Race 11%, draw 19%, NK Odranci 70%.

How many goals are expected in NK Race vs NK Odranci?

The model expects 3.05 goals (NK Race 0.78 · NK Odranci 2.26), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Race vs NK Odranci?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.