Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Podvinci vs NK Fuzinar

Team pages: NK Podvinci · NK Fuzinar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

NK Podvinci1.73

NK Fuzinar2.06

1X2

32% 23% 45%

NK Podvinci Draw NK Fuzinar

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Podvinci 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWDLW

NK Fuzinar 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

NK Podvinci 1–2–1 NK Fuzinar (4 last)

NK Podvinci0-1NK Fuzinar
NK Fuzinar0-2NK Podvinci
NK Fuzinar1-1NK Podvinci
NK Podvinci1-1NK Fuzinar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Podvinci 1504 · NK Fuzinar 1580

	NK Podvinci	Draw	NK Fuzinar
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Fuzinar (rating 1504 vs 1580).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Podvinci	NK Fuzinar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	3.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/75/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.8	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.45 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +4’	2.80	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Podvinci 1–2–1 NK Fuzinar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Podvinci	0-1	NK Fuzinar
27/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fuzinar	0-2	NK Podvinci
27/04/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fuzinar	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Podvinci
12/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Podvinci	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Fuzinar

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	11	9	2	0	36	12	29
2	NK Fuzinar	11	7	1	3	35	22	22
3	NK Ormoz	11	7	1	3	25	17	22
4	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27	28	19
5	SD Videm	11	5	2	4	20	19	17
6	NK Podvinci	11	5	2	4	18	20	17
7	NK Hajdina	11	4	4	3	18	17	16
8	NK Carda	11	4	3	4	23	21	15
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	11	3	5	3	17	15	14
10	NK Race	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
11	NK Dobrovce	11	3	1	7	16	28	10
12	NK Ljutomer	11	2	2	7	12	19	8
13	NK Limbus Pekre	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
14	NK Sampion Celje	11	1	1	9	11	26	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Podvinci	NK Fuzinar
SD Videm	0-2 L	1-2 L
NK Carda	2-2 D	3-0 W
NK Race	0-1 L	0-1 L
NK Smartno	1-8 L	5-1 W
NK Korotan Prevalje	2-0 W	4-4 D
NK Ormoz	2-0 W	4-3 W
NK Hajdina	4-1 W	4-2 W
NK Sampion Celje	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Fuzinar (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Podvinci

DWWWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
10/10	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
04/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
29/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-1	12	6	W
26/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
19/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-8	6	4	L
12/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-1	0	2	W
22/08	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

NK Fuzinar

LWLWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
10/10	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-1	–	–	W
03/10	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-3	8	9	W
19/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-3	–	–	W
06/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-5	–	–	L
29/08	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Podvinci vs NK Fuzinar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Fuzinar win (45%). Probabilities: NK Podvinci 32%, draw 23%, NK Fuzinar 45%.

How many goals are expected in NK Podvinci vs NK Fuzinar?

The model expects 3.79 goals (NK Podvinci 1.73 · NK Fuzinar 2.06), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Podvinci vs NK Fuzinar?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.