Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Hajdina vs NK Ormoz

Team pages: NK Hajdina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

NK Hajdina1.66

NK Ormoz1.68

1X2

37% 25% 38%

NK Hajdina Draw NK Ormoz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Hajdina 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLDWDW

NK Ormoz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Hajdina 1530 · NK Ormoz 1514

	NK Hajdina	Draw	NK Ormoz
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Hajdina	NK Ormoz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.6	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.70

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:58 +11’	2.40	3.70	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	10	8	2	0	30	12	26
2	NK Fuzinar	10	6	1	3	32	22	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	6	1	3	23	17	19
4	NK Smartno	10	6	1	3	27	22	19
5	NK Hajdina	10	4	4	2	18	15	16
6	NK Carda	10	4	3	3	23	18	15
7	SD Videm	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
8	NK Podvinci	10	4	2	4	15	19	14
9	NK Race	10	3	4	3	11	10	13
10	NK Korotan Prevalje	10	2	5	3	14	15	11
11	NK Dobrovce	10	3	0	7	15	27	9
12	NK Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	12	16	8
13	NK Limbus Pekre	10	2	2	6	10	23	8
14	NK Sampion Celje	10	1	1	8	11	23	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Hajdina	NK Ormoz
NK Sampion Celje	2-0 W	2-0 W
NK Odranci	0-0 D	0-3 L
NK Dobrovce	3-0 W	4-3 W
NK Fuzinar	2-4 L	3-4 L
NK Limbus Pekre	1-1 D	4-0 W
NK Ljutomer	3-1 W	1-1 D
NK Podvinci	1-4 L	0-2 L
NK Carda	3-2 W	3-1 W
NK Race	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Ormoz (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Hajdina

DWLWDLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
03/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
30/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
23/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	2-2	1	6	D
19/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-1	8	6	W
30/08	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-4	2	2	L
22/08	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-2	2	6	W
15/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-1	1	6	D

NK Ormoz

WWWLDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
26/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-4	1	9	L
19/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
05/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Hajdina vs NK Ormoz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Ormoz win (38%). Probabilities: NK Hajdina 37%, draw 25%, NK Ormoz 38%.

How many goals are expected in NK Hajdina vs NK Ormoz?

The model expects 3.33 goals (NK Hajdina 1.66 · NK Ormoz 1.68), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Hajdina vs NK Ormoz?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.