Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 25/07, 03:00
Prediction: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Mineros de Zacatecas1.86
Correcaminos1.12
1X2
Mineros de Zacatecas
Draw
Correcaminos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mineros de Zacatecas
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Correcaminos
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mineros de Zacatecas
4–2–0
Correcaminos
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mineros de Zacatecas 1549 · Correcaminos 1439
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Draw | Correcaminos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mineros de Zacatecas (rating 1549 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Mineros de Zacatecas: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Correcaminos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros de Zacatecas 4–2–0 Correcaminos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 01/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 15/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Correcaminos |
| 27/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 12/01/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 29/07/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cancun FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tapatio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Correcaminos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Atletico La Paz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dorados | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jaiba Brava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Piratas Veracruz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tepatitlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tlaxcala FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venados FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mineros de Zacatecas | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Irapuato | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Atlante | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tapatio | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mineros de Zacatecas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/04 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/03 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chivas Guadalajara America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 13/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/03 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 14/02 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mineros de Zacatecas win (54%). Probabilities: Mineros de Zacatecas 54%, draw 24%, Correcaminos 22%.
How many goals are expected in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Mineros de Zacatecas 1.86 · Correcaminos 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.