Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 31/07, 03:00
Prediction: Oaxaca vs Dorados
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Oaxaca1.88
Dorados1.26
1X2
Oaxaca
Draw
Dorados
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oaxaca
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Dorados
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oaxaca
4–1–1
Dorados
(6 last)
- Oaxaca3-2Dorados
- Dorados1-2Oaxaca
- Oaxaca2-2Dorados
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oaxaca: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oaxaca | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.7 | 6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oaxaca 4–1–1 Dorados
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Dorados |
| 21/09/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Oaxaca |
| 20/04/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Dorados |
| 03/11/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Oaxaca |
| 03/04/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Oaxaca |
| 28/09/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Dorados |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cancun FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Club Atletico La Paz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dorados | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jaiba Brava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Universidad Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Piratas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oaxaca | Dorados |
|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Club Atletico La Paz | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Tapatio | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Irapuato | 2-6 L | 0-5 L |
| Atlante | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Tlaxcala FC | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Oaxaca (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/02 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 15/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 09/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/02 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/02 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/02 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oaxaca vs Dorados?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oaxaca win (51%). Probabilities: Oaxaca 51%, draw 25%, Dorados 25%.
How many goals are expected in Oaxaca vs Dorados?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Oaxaca 1.88 · Dorados 1.26), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oaxaca vs Dorados?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.