Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 01/08, 03:00

Prediction: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Mineros de Zacatecas1.67

Tlaxcala FC1.07

1X2

50% 27% 23%

Mineros de Zacatecas Draw Tlaxcala FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mineros de Zacatecas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLDDD

Tlaxcala FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDWLDD

Head-to-head

Mineros de Zacatecas 4–2–0 Tlaxcala FC (6 last)

Mineros de Zacatecas4-1Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC1-1Mineros de Zacatecas
Tlaxcala FC3-3Mineros de Zacatecas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mineros de Zacatecas: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mineros de Zacatecas	Tlaxcala FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.97▲	Pinn 1.97
X	3.42 → 3.46▲	Pinn 3.46
2	3.65 → 3.69▲	Pinn 3.69

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32	1.95	3.42	3.65
01:33 +1’	1.97▲	3.46▲	3.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros de Zacatecas 4–2–0 Tlaxcala FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Mineros de Zacatecas	4-1 HT 2-1	Tlaxcala FC
03/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Mineros de Zacatecas
09/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	3-3 HT 0-3	Mineros de Zacatecas
24/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Mineros de Zacatecas	1-0 HT 1-0	Tlaxcala FC
11/04/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Mineros de Zacatecas
06/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Mineros de Zacatecas	5-1 HT 2-0	Tlaxcala FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
2	Mineros de Zacatecas	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
2	Correcaminos	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
4	Oaxaca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Atletico Morelia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Cancun FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Tapatio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Club Atletico La Paz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dorados	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Jaiba Brava	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Universidad Guadalajara	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Piratas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Tlaxcala FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Venados FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Tepatitlan FC	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mineros de Zacatecas	Tlaxcala FC
Tepatitlan FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Atletico Morelia	0-2 L	0-0 D
Atlante	1-3 L	1-1 D
Tapatio	2-1 W	0-3 L
Universidad Guadalajara	3-1 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tlaxcala FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mineros de Zacatecas

WWLWDWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	3-3	2	4	D
04/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
01/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
26/04	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
23/04	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
19/04	Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
13/04	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
05/04	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
30/03	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/03	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	3-1	6	3	W

Tlaxcala FC

WDWLDDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/04	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-2	8	4	D
12/04	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
08/04	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
04/04	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
23/03	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
19/03	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
08/03	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-2	1	6	L
01/03	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
14/02	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
08/02	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	4-1	5-2	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mineros de Zacatecas win (50%). Probabilities: Mineros de Zacatecas 50%, draw 27%, Tlaxcala FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Mineros de Zacatecas 1.67 · Tlaxcala FC 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.