Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 14/08, 03:00
Prediction: Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC
Team pages: Oaxaca · Tepatitlan FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Oaxaca1.46
Tepatitlan FC1.17
1X2
Oaxaca
Draw
Tepatitlan FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oaxaca
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Tepatitlan FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oaxaca
1–1–4
Tepatitlan FC
(6 last)
- Tepatitlan FC2-0Oaxaca
- Oaxaca1-1Tepatitlan FC
- Tepatitlan FC4-0Oaxaca
- Oaxaca0-2Tepatitlan FC
- Oaxaca1-0Tepatitlan FC
- Tepatitlan FC3-1Oaxaca
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tepatitlan FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oaxaca | Tepatitlan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 6.7 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oaxaca 1–1–4 Tepatitlan FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tepatitlan FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Oaxaca |
| 25/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tepatitlan FC |
| 12/04/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tepatitlan FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Oaxaca |
| 27/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tepatitlan FC |
| 27/03/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tepatitlan FC |
| 26/10/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tepatitlan FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Oaxaca |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Correcaminos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Venados FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Piratas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Universidad Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alacranes de Durango | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Dorados | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Club Atletico La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Cancun FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oaxaca | Tepatitlan FC |
|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico La Paz | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Oaxaca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
Tepatitlan FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 04/05 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 27/04 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oaxaca win (43%). Probabilities: Oaxaca 43%, draw 28%, Tepatitlan FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Oaxaca 1.46 · Tepatitlan FC 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.