Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 21/08, 01:00

Prediction: Venados FC vs Dorados

Team pages: Venados FC · Dorados

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Venados FC1.87

Dorados1.49

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Venados FC Draw Dorados

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Venados FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDWDWL

Dorados 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWWDD

Head-to-head

Venados FC 3–1–2 Dorados (6 last)

Venados FC4-4Dorados
Dorados1-0Venados FC
Dorados3-1Venados FC
Venados FC4-0Dorados
Dorados2-3Venados FC
Venados FC4-1Dorados

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Venados FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Venados FC	Dorados
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.5	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40
2	5.47 → 5.47	Pinn 5.47

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:08 +1’	1.50	4.40	5.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Venados FC 3–1–2 Dorados

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	4-4 HT 2-0	Dorados
17/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	1-0 HT 0-0	Venados FC
06/04/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	3-1 HT 2-0	Venados FC
19/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Dorados
01/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	2-3 HT 1-1	Venados FC
16/10/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	4-1 HT 1-1	Dorados

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Morelia	4	3	0	1	10	5	9
2	Mineros de Zacatecas	4	2	2	0	13	7	8
3	Correcaminos	4	2	1	1	11	8	7
4	Piratas	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
5	Tapatio	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
6	Venados FC	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
7	Club Atletico La Paz	4	2	0	2	9	5	6
8	Universidad Guadalajara	3	2	0	1	7	5	6
9	Oaxaca	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
10	Alacranes de Durango	4	2	0	2	2	5	6
11	Dorados	3	1	2	0	6	4	5
12	Jaiba Brava	3	1	1	1	3	1	4
13	Cancun FC	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
14	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	Tlaxcala FC	4	0	1	3	5	11	1
16	Tepatitlan FC	4	0	0	4	1	10	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Venados FC	Dorados
Mineros de Zacatecas	1-5 L	2-2 D
Tapatio	3-2 W	3-1 W
Oaxaca	3-0 W	2-0 W
Tlaxcala FC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Universidad Guadalajara	2-1 W	1-1 D
Jaiba Brava	1-1 D	0-2 L
Atlante	4-1 W	0-2 L
Correcaminos	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Venados FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venados FC

LLWDWDWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	1-5	3	6	L
09/08	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-2	8	5	W
01/08	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
26/07	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	3-0	12	1	W
19/04	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
12/04	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/04	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
28/03	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	4-1	1	7	W
21/03	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
07/03	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Dorados

LLDLWLWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
07/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
31/07	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-0	0	5	W
18/04	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	3	8	W
04/04	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
29/03	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
22/03	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	2	10	L
15/03	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
09/03	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
28/02	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	2-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venados FC vs Dorados?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Venados FC win (46%). Probabilities: Venados FC 46%, draw 24%, Dorados 30%.

How many goals are expected in Venados FC vs Dorados?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Venados FC 1.87 · Dorados 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Venados FC vs Dorados?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.