Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 23/08, 03:00

Prediction: Jaiba Brava vs Oaxaca

Team pages: Jaiba Brava · Oaxaca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Jaiba Brava1.55

Oaxaca1.08

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Jaiba Brava Draw Oaxaca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jaiba Brava 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Oaxaca 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jaiba Brava 4–2–0 Oaxaca (6 last)

Oaxaca1-2Jaiba Brava
Jaiba Brava3-1Oaxaca
Jaiba Brava3-0Oaxaca
Oaxaca1-1Jaiba Brava
Jaiba Brava7-0Oaxaca
Jaiba Brava1-1Oaxaca

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jaiba Brava: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jaiba Brava	Oaxaca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.5	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83
X	3.85 → 3.85	Pinn 3.85
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:22	1.83	3.85	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaiba Brava 4–2–0 Oaxaca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Oaxaca	1-2 HT 0-2	Jaiba Brava
02/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	3-1 HT 1-0	Oaxaca
09/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	3-0 HT 1-0	Oaxaca
23/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Oaxaca	1-1 HT 1-1	Jaiba Brava
13/07/24 Club Friendly List	Jaiba Brava	7-0 HT 4-0	Oaxaca
12/01/22 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	1-1 HT 0-1	Oaxaca

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Universidad Guadalajara	4	3	0	1	11	5	9
2	Atletico Morelia	4	3	0	1	10	5	9
3	Mineros de Zacatecas	4	2	2	0	13	7	8
4	Correcaminos	4	2	1	1	11	8	7
5	Piratas	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
6	Tapatio	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
7	Venados FC	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
8	Club Atletico La Paz	4	2	0	2	9	5	6
9	Oaxaca	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
10	Alacranes de Durango	4	2	0	2	2	5	6
11	Dorados	3	1	2	0	6	4	5
12	Jaiba Brava	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
13	Cancun FC	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
14	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	Tlaxcala FC	4	0	1	3	5	11	1
16	Tepatitlan FC	4	0	0	4	1	10	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jaiba Brava	Oaxaca
Universidad Guadalajara	0-4 L	1-1 D
Tapatio	0-1 L	4-3 W
Tepatitlan FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oaxaca (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jaiba Brava

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-3	0-4	5	8	L
09/08	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	3-0	3	7	W
02/08	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
26/07	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/07	Club America America Friendlies	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
31/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
24/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-3	1	8	L
17/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	7	8	L
10/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
04/05	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Oaxaca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
07/08	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	2-0	5	8	W
31/07	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
26/07	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-3	1	1	L
18/04	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	3-1	5	9	W
11/04	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	1-2	5	7	L
04/04	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
28/03	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
21/03	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-3	0-4	4	6	L
14/03	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	3-1	4-3	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaiba Brava vs Oaxaca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jaiba Brava win (47%). Probabilities: Jaiba Brava 47%, draw 28%, Oaxaca 25%.

How many goals are expected in Jaiba Brava vs Oaxaca?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Jaiba Brava 1.55 · Oaxaca 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jaiba Brava vs Oaxaca?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.