Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 15/08, 03:00
Prediction: Correcaminos vs Tapatio
Team pages: Correcaminos · Tapatio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Correcaminos1.87
Tapatio1.37
1X2
Correcaminos
Draw
Tapatio
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Correcaminos
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tapatio
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Correcaminos
0–4–2
Tapatio
(6 last)
- Correcaminos2-2Tapatio
- Tapatio2-2Correcaminos
- Tapatio4-0Correcaminos
- Correcaminos0-3Tapatio
- Tapatio2-2Correcaminos
- Correcaminos2-2Tapatio
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tapatio: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correcaminos | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Correcaminos 0–4–2 Tapatio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Tapatio |
| 20/09/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 12/04/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Correcaminos |
| 25/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Tapatio |
| 21/03/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Correcaminos |
| 17/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Tapatio |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Correcaminos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Venados FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Piratas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Universidad Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alacranes de Durango | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Dorados | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Club Atletico La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Cancun FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Correcaminos | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Cancun FC | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Dorados | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Irapuato | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Correcaminos (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Chivas Guadalajara America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 13/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Tapatio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/03 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correcaminos vs Tapatio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correcaminos win (48%). Probabilities: Correcaminos 48%, draw 25%, Tapatio 27%.
How many goals are expected in Correcaminos vs Tapatio?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Correcaminos 1.87 · Tapatio 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Correcaminos vs Tapatio?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.