Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava
Team pages: Universidad Guadalajara · Jaiba Brava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Universidad Guadalajara1.41
Jaiba Brava1.17
1X2
Universidad Guadalajara
Draw
Jaiba Brava
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Guadalajara
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Jaiba Brava
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Guadalajara
3–3
Jaiba Brava
(6 last)
- Universidad Guadalajara4-1Jaiba Brava
- Jaiba Brava4-1Universidad Guadalajara
- Universidad Guadalajara1-0Jaiba Brava
- Jaiba Brava1-0Universidad Guadalajara
- Universidad Guadalajara1-0Jaiba Brava
- Jaiba Brava2-1Universidad Guadalajara
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Guadalajara | Jaiba Brava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Guadalajara 3–0–3 Jaiba Brava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Jaiba Brava |
| 17/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Universidad Guadalajara |
| 14/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jaiba Brava |
| 03/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad Guadalajara |
| 25/05/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jaiba Brava |
| 18/05/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Universidad Guadalajara |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Correcaminos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Venados FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Piratas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Universidad Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alacranes de Durango | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Dorados | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Club Atletico La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Cancun FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Guadalajara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/04 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 05/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Jaiba Brava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/07 | Club America America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 04/05 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Guadalajara win (41%). Probabilities: Universidad Guadalajara 41%, draw 29%, Jaiba Brava 30%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Universidad Guadalajara 1.41 · Jaiba Brava 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.