Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 06/09, 03:00

Prediction: Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC

Team pages: Jaiba Brava · Venados FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Jaiba Brava1.58

Venados FC1.34

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Jaiba Brava Draw Venados FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Jaiba Brava 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLWLWL

Venados FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Jaiba Brava 2–3–1 Venados FC (6 last)

Jaiba Brava1-1Venados FC
Venados FC1-1Jaiba Brava
Venados FC1-2Jaiba Brava
Jaiba Brava0-0Venados FC
Venados FC2-1Jaiba Brava
Jaiba Brava3-0Venados FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jaiba Brava: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jaiba Brava	Venados FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	3.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.78

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.77▼	Pinn 1.77
X	3.85 → 3.93▲	Pinn 3.93
2	3.84 → 3.96▲	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:21 +1’	1.78	3.85	3.84
11:34	1.80▲	3.90▲	3.89▲
13:29	1.81▲	3.87▼	3.85▼
17:37 +1’	1.77▼	3.93▲	3.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaiba Brava 2–3–1 Venados FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	1-1 HT 1-0	Venados FC
24/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Jaiba Brava
18/01/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Jaiba Brava
03/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	0-0 HT 0-0	Venados FC
16/02/22 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Jaiba Brava
11/08/21 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Jaiba Brava	3-0 HT 2-0	Venados FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Universidad Guadalajara	6	4	1	1	14	7	13
2	Atletico Morelia	6	4	0	2	12	8	12
3	Mineros de Zacatecas	6	3	2	1	17	11	11
4	Correcaminos	6	3	2	1	14	9	11
5	Tapatio	6	3	2	1	11	8	11
6	Club Atletico La Paz	6	3	1	2	12	7	10
7	Venados FC	6	3	1	2	13	13	10
8	Piratas	6	2	2	2	5	4	8
9	Jaiba Brava	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
10	Oaxaca	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
11	Alacranes de Durango	6	2	1	3	3	7	7
12	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	6	1	3	2	9	7	6
13	Cancun FC	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
14	Dorados	5	1	2	2	8	9	5
15	Tlaxcala FC	6	1	1	4	10	15	4
16	Tepatitlan FC	6	1	0	5	4	18	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jaiba Brava	Venados FC
Mineros de Zacatecas	0-2 L	1-5 L
Oaxaca	2-1 W	3-0 W
Universidad Guadalajara	0-4 L	2-1 W
Cruz Azul Hidalgo	3-0 W	1-1 D
Tapatio	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Venados FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaiba Brava

DLLWDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
23/08	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-3	0-4	5	8	L
09/08	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	3-0	3	7	W
02/08	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
26/07	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
31/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
24/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-3	1	8	L
17/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	7	8	L
10/05	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	4	8	D

Venados FC

WDWDWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-3	6	10	L
21/08	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-2	4-2	6	2	W
15/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	1-5	3	6	L
09/08	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-2	8	5	W
01/08	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
26/07	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	3-0	12	1	W
19/04	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
12/04	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/04	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
28/03	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	4-1	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jaiba Brava win (42%). Probabilities: Jaiba Brava 42%, draw 27%, Venados FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Jaiba Brava 1.58 · Venados FC 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.