Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 13/09, 03:00
Prediction: Dorados vs Tapatio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Dorados1.65
Tapatio1.46
1X2
Dorados
Draw
Tapatio
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dorados
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Tapatio
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dorados
2–1–3
Tapatio
(6 last)
- Dorados3-1Tapatio
- Tapatio4-1Dorados
- Tapatio1-0Dorados
- Dorados3-3Tapatio
- Dorados1-3Tapatio
- Tapatio0-1Dorados
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tapatio: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dorados | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorados 2–1–3 Tapatio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Tapatio |
| 10/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Dorados |
| 08/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
| 25/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Tapatio |
| 06/04/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Tapatio |
| 03/11/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dorados |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Atletico La Paz | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Universidad Guadalajara | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Piratas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 11 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | Venados FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Cancun FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Dorados | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Alacranes de Durango | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dorados | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Venados FC | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Oaxaca | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Correcaminos | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tapatio (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
Tapatio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 24/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dorados vs Tapatio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorados win (41%). Probabilities: Dorados 41%, draw 26%, Tapatio 33%.
How many goals are expected in Dorados vs Tapatio?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Dorados 1.65 · Tapatio 1.46), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dorados vs Tapatio?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.