Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 12/09, 03:00
Prediction: Correcaminos vs Cancun FC
Team pages: Correcaminos · Cancun FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Correcaminos1.64
Cancun FC1.61
1X2
Correcaminos
Draw
Cancun FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Correcaminos
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Cancun FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Correcaminos
1–5
Cancun FC
(6 last)
- Correcaminos1-3Cancun FC
- Cancun FC5-0Correcaminos
- Cancun FC2-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos1-3Cancun FC
- Correcaminos3-1Cancun FC
- Cancun FC2-1Correcaminos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cancun FC (rating 1470 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Cancun FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correcaminos | Cancun FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.5 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Correcaminos 1–0–5 Cancun FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cancun FC |
| 26/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Correcaminos |
| 12/01/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Correcaminos |
| 17/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Cancun FC |
| 01/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Cancun FC |
| 06/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Correcaminos |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Atletico La Paz | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Universidad Guadalajara | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Piratas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 11 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | Venados FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Cancun FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Dorados | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Alacranes de Durango | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Correcaminos | Cancun FC |
|---|---|---|
| Piratas | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Alacranes de Durango | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Morelia | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Tapatio | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cancun FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 13/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Cancun FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 23/08 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correcaminos vs Cancun FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correcaminos win (38%). Probabilities: Correcaminos 38%, draw 25%, Cancun FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Correcaminos vs Cancun FC?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Correcaminos 1.64 · Cancun FC 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Correcaminos vs Cancun FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.