Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 19/09, 05:00
Prediction: Club Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos
Team pages: Club Atletico La Paz · Correcaminos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Club Atletico La Paz2.25
Correcaminos1.37
1X2
Club Atletico La Paz
Draw
Correcaminos
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Atletico La Paz
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Correcaminos
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Atletico La Paz
2–3–1
Correcaminos
(6 last)
- Correcaminos0-3Club Atletico La Paz
- Club Atletico La Paz1-1Correcaminos
- Club Atletico La Paz1-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos5-1Club Atletico La Paz
- Club Atletico La Paz1-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos0-1Club Atletico La Paz
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Atletico La Paz (rating 1548 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Club Atletico La Paz: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico La Paz | Correcaminos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 1 | 5.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico La Paz 2–3–1 Correcaminos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Club Atletico La Paz |
| 09/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Club Atletico La Paz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 25/01/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Club Atletico La Paz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Correcaminos |
| 09/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Club Atletico La Paz |
| 18/03/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Club Atletico La Paz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Correcaminos |
| 10/11/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico La Paz |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Universidad Guadalajara | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Club Atletico La Paz | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Correcaminos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Dorados | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Cancun FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 10 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Alacranes de Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Atletico La Paz | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Cancun FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Piratas | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Tepatitlan FC | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Alacranes de Durango | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Morelia | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Atletico La Paz (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atletico La Paz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/08 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 15/08 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 23/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 06/09 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 13/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atletico La Paz win (56%). Probabilities: Club Atletico La Paz 56%, draw 22%, Correcaminos 22%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Club Atletico La Paz 2.25 · Correcaminos 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.