Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 27/09, 00:00

Prediction: Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC

Team pages: Tlaxcala FC · Cancun FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Tlaxcala FC1.58

Cancun FC1.38

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Tlaxcala FC Draw Cancun FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tlaxcala FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDLWDW

Cancun FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Tlaxcala FC 3–1–2 Cancun FC (6 last)

Tlaxcala FC1-0Cancun FC
Cancun FC3-0Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC1-1Cancun FC
Cancun FC5-2Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC1-0Cancun FC
Cancun FC1-2Tlaxcala FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tlaxcala FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tlaxcala FC	Cancun FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.5	5.2 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38
X	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
2	2.67 → 2.67	Pinn 2.67

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +63’	2.38	3.54	2.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tlaxcala FC 3–1–2 Cancun FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Cancun FC
10/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Tlaxcala FC
16/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Cancun FC
29/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	5-2 HT 3-0	Tlaxcala FC
11/01/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Cancun FC
07/09/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Tlaxcala FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Morelia	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Club Atletico La Paz	9	5	2	2	20	10	17
3	Universidad Guadalajara	9	5	2	2	19	12	17
4	Piratas	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
5	Cancun FC	9	4	2	3	17	11	14
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	9	4	2	3	18	15	14
7	Dorados	9	3	4	2	17	13	13
8	Venados FC	9	4	1	4	22	19	13
9	Correcaminos	9	3	3	3	18	18	12
10	Tapatio	8	3	2	3	13	14	11
11	Alacranes de Durango	9	3	2	4	6	9	11
12	Jaiba Brava	9	3	2	4	11	15	11
13	Oaxaca	9	3	1	5	7	15	10
14	Tlaxcala FC	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	9	1	4	4	10	16	7
16	Tepatitlan FC	9	1	0	8	5	28	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tlaxcala FC	Cancun FC
Jaiba Brava	3-1 W	1-1 D
Alacranes de Durango	1-1 D	2-0 W
Dorados	2-2 D	1-1 D
Oaxaca	0-2 L	3-0 W
Universidad Guadalajara	2-4 L	0-2 L
Atletico Morelia	0-0 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tlaxcala FC

DDLLLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
05/09	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
30/08	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	3	10	W
21/08	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-3	3	6	L
16/08	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-2	1	5	D
07/08	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
01/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-3	4	7	L
26/07	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-4	4	5	L
19/04	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-2	8	4	D
12/04	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Cancun FC

DLLWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	3-0	2	8	W
16/09	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
12/09	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
06/09	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/08	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
23/08	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
16/08	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/08	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-4	5	6	L
02/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-2	0	7	L
04/05	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	13	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tlaxcala FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tlaxcala FC 41%, draw 27%, Cancun FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Tlaxcala FC 1.58 · Cancun FC 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.