Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 09/10, 03:00
Prediction: Oaxaca vs Correcaminos
Team pages: Oaxaca · Correcaminos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Oaxaca1.5
Correcaminos1.35
1X2
Oaxaca
Draw
Correcaminos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oaxaca
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Correcaminos
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oaxaca
3–1–2
Correcaminos
(6 last)
- Correcaminos1-3Oaxaca
- Oaxaca1-1Correcaminos
- Oaxaca0-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos1-3Oaxaca
- Oaxaca1-0Correcaminos
- Correcaminos7-0Oaxaca
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oaxaca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oaxaca | Correcaminos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oaxaca 3–1–2 Correcaminos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Oaxaca |
| 08/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 01/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Correcaminos |
| 13/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Oaxaca |
| 07/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 30/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Oaxaca |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Universidad Guadalajara | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 19 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Correcaminos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oaxaca | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico La Paz | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Cancun FC | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Alacranes de Durango | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Morelia | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Tapatio | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tepatitlan FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Correcaminos (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 26/09 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 06/09 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oaxaca vs Correcaminos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oaxaca win (40%). Probabilities: Oaxaca 40%, draw 27%, Correcaminos 33%.
How many goals are expected in Oaxaca vs Correcaminos?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Oaxaca 1.5 · Correcaminos 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oaxaca vs Correcaminos?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.