Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas

Team pages: Cruz Azul Hidalgo · Mineros de Zacatecas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Cruz Azul Hidalgo1.66

Mineros de Zacatecas1.5

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo Draw Mineros de Zacatecas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Mineros de Zacatecas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	Mineros de Zacatecas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.7	5.3 / 1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.31 → 2.33▲	Pinn 2.33
X	3.59 → 3.64▲	Pinn 3.64
2	2.74 → 2.76▲	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +33’	2.31	3.59	2.74
04:14 +19’	2.33▲	3.64▲	2.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Universidad Guadalajara	12	7	3	2	28	17	24
2	Club Atletico La Paz	12	7	2	3	28	15	23
3	Atletico Morelia	12	7	2	3	22	13	23
4	Venados FC	12	6	2	4	27	22	20
5	Mineros de Zacatecas	12	5	3	4	25	21	18
6	Cancun FC	12	5	3	4	21	17	18
7	Piratas	12	5	3	4	18	14	18
8	Alacranes de Durango	12	5	3	4	11	11	18
9	Correcaminos	12	4	4	4	20	20	16
10	Tlaxcala FC	12	4	3	5	23	25	15
11	Tapatio	11	4	2	5	19	19	14
12	Dorados	12	3	4	5	21	23	13
13	Oaxaca	12	4	1	7	10	23	13
14	Jaiba Brava	12	3	3	6	12	19	12
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
16	Tepatitlan FC	11	2	1	8	9	30	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	Mineros de Zacatecas
Dorados	3-1 W	2-2 D
Alacranes de Durango	0-2 L	2-4 L
Piratas	1-1 D	3-0 W
Cancun FC	0-6 L	2-2 D
Tepatitlan FC	6-0 W	1-0 W
Club Atletico La Paz	1-1 D	0-3 L
Atletico Morelia	1-2 L	0-1 L
Jaiba Brava	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	3-1	1	7	W
03/10	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
26/09	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
18/09	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-2	4	10	L
11/09	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	5	9	D
06/09	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-6	0	5	L
29/08	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	6-0	5	5	W
22/08	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-1	14	8	D
15/08	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
09/08	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-3	8	7	L

Mineros de Zacatecas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-2	4	6	D
04/10	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-4	4	6	L
25/09	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
19/09	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
13/09	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-1	4	10	L
05/09	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
30/08	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/08	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-4	2	7	L
15/08	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	5-1	5	6	W
07/08	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-2	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruz Azul Hidalgo win (40%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 40%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 34%.

How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1.66 · Mineros de Zacatecas 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.