Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 25/10, 01:00

Prediction: Venados FC vs Alacranes de Durango

Team pages: Venados FC · Alacranes de Durango

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Venados FC1.6

Alacranes de Durango1.26

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Venados FC Draw Alacranes de Durango

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Venados FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWDD

Alacranes de Durango 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWWWDW

Head-to-head

Venados FC 1–1–0 Alacranes de Durango (2 last)

Venados FC1-0Alacranes de Durango
Alacranes de Durango1-1Venados FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Venados FC	Alacranes de Durango
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.6	5.9 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.13 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.15
X	3.46 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.50
2	3.14 → 3.17▲	Pinn 3.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +20’	2.13	3.46	3.14
06:15 +15’	2.15▲	3.50▲	3.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Venados FC 1–1–0 Alacranes de Durango

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Venados FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Alacranes de Durango
21/07/22 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Alacranes de Durango	1-1 HT 1-0	Venados FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Atletico La Paz	13	7	3	3	30	17	24
2	Universidad Guadalajara	12	7	3	2	28	17	24
3	Atletico Morelia	13	7	2	4	23	15	23
4	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21	14	21
5	Venados FC	13	6	3	4	28	23	21
6	Alacranes de Durango	13	6	3	4	16	11	21
7	Cancun FC	13	5	4	4	22	18	19
8	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26	23	18
9	Tapatio	13	5	2	6	23	25	17
10	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23	24	16
11	Correcaminos	13	4	4	5	21	22	16
12	Tlaxcala FC	13	4	4	5	25	27	16
13	Jaiba Brava	13	4	3	6	14	20	15
14	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	13	3	5	5	16	20	14
15	Oaxaca	12	4	1	7	10	23	13
16	Tepatitlan FC	13	2	1	10	10	37	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Venados FC	Alacranes de Durango
Cancun FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Universidad Guadalajara	1-1 D	1-2 L
Jaiba Brava	3-4 L	0-0 D
Tlaxcala FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Dorados	4-2 W	1-0 W
Mineros de Zacatecas	1-5 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venados FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
11/10	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
03/10	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
27/09	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/09	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	5-0	3	6	W
06/09	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-3	3-4	10	9	L
30/08	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-3	6	10	L
21/08	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-2	4-2	6	2	W
15/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	1-5	3	6	L

Alacranes de Durango

LLDDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	5-0	4	5	W
11/10	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
04/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	4-2	8	6	W
27/09	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
18/09	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-0	9	10	W
11/09	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
05/09	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
29/08	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
23/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
16/08	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venados FC vs Alacranes de Durango?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Venados FC win (44%). Probabilities: Venados FC 44%, draw 27%, Alacranes de Durango 29%.

How many goals are expected in Venados FC vs Alacranes de Durango?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Venados FC 1.6 · Alacranes de Durango 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Venados FC vs Alacranes de Durango?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.