Prediction: Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala FC

Team pages: Cruz Azul Hidalgo · Tlaxcala FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1.49
Tlaxcala FC1.88
1X2
29% 25% 46%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Draw Tlaxcala FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDLLDWWL
Tlaxcala FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWDWDW
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1–1–1 Tlaxcala FC (3 last)
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo0-1Tlaxcala FC
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo3-1Tlaxcala FC
  • Tlaxcala FC1-1Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1489 · Tlaxcala FC 1543
Cruz Azul HidalgoDrawTlaxcala FC
Our model30%24%46%
Market29%25%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tlaxcala FC (rating 1489 vs 1543).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cruz Azul HidalgoTlaxcala FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.62.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.32 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.85.9 / 1.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1–1–1 Tlaxcala FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/09/19
Mexico Segunda Division
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0-1
HT 0-1
Tlaxcala FC
22/03/19
Mexico Segunda Division
Cruz Azul Hidalgo3-1
HT 2-1
Tlaxcala FC
03/11/18
Mexico Segunda Division
Tlaxcala FC1-1
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Atletico La Paz 14833 331827
2 Universidad Guadalajara 14833 311927
3 Atletico Morelia 14824 251626
4 Piratas 14734 261424
5 Venados FC 14734 312524
6 Cancun FC 14644 261822
7 Oaxaca 15717 152522
8 Alacranes de Durango 14635 181421
9 Tlaxcala FC 14545 272719
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 15537 262618
11 Tapatio 14527 242717
12 Correcaminos 14446 212416
13 Dorados 14446 232916
14 Jaiba Brava 14437 152315
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 14356 172214
16 Tepatitlan FC 142111 10417

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCruz Azul HidalgoTlaxcala FC
Correcaminos 0-0 D 2-0 W
Alacranes de Durango 0-2 L 1-1 D
Piratas 1-1 D 4-2 W
Cancun FC 0-6 L 4-1 W
Tepatitlan FC 6-0 W 2-3 L
Club Atletico La Paz 1-1 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tlaxcala FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

DWLDLLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Oaxaca
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-1 1-2 15 L
17/10 Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexico Liga de Expansion
2-1 2-1 44 W
11/10 Dorados
Mexico Liga de Expansion
2-0 3-1 17 W
03/10 Correcaminos
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-0 0-0 58 D
26/09 Universidad Guadalajara
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-0 1-2 45 L
18/09 Alacranes de Durango
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-1 0-2 410 L
11/09 Piratas
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-1 1-1 59 D
06/09 Cancun FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-2 0-6 05 L
29/08 Tepatitlan FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
2-0 6-0 55 W
22/08 Club Atletico La Paz
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-0 1-1 148 D

Tlaxcala FC

LWDWLWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Correcaminos
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-0 2-0 56 W
17/10 Club Atletico La Paz
Mexico Liga de Expansion
2-1 2-2 38 D
11/10 Piratas
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-2 4-2 76 W
04/10 Atletico Morelia
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-1 1-1 38 D
27/09 Cancun FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-1 4-1 16 W
21/09 Tapatio
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-1 0-4 84 L
13/09 Jaiba Brava
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-1 3-1 57 W
05/09 Alacranes de Durango
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-0 1-1 29 D
30/08 Venados FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-0 3-1 310 W
21/08 Tepatitlan FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-1 2-3 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tlaxcala FC win (46%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 29%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala FC 46%.

How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala FC?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1.49 · Tlaxcala FC 1.88), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.