Prediction: Alacranes de Durango vs Atletico Morelia
Team pages: Alacranes de Durango · Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia3-0Alacranes de Durango
- Alacranes de Durango2-2Atletico Morelia
| Alacranes de Durango | Draw | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alacranes de Durango | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 3.8 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.7 | 5.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alacranes de Durango 0–1–1 Atletico Morelia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Alacranes de Durango |
| 06/10/22 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Alacranes de Durango | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico Morelia |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Universidad Guadalajara | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Cancun FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 7 | Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 22 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 17 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alacranes de Durango | Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Venados FC | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Tapatio | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Jaiba Brava | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Dorados | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Oaxaca | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Tlaxcala FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Correcaminos | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Alacranes de Durango (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alacranes de Durango
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/10 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 18/09 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 11/09 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Atletico Morelia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 04/10 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 16 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alacranes de Durango vs Atletico Morelia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alacranes de Durango win (45%). Probabilities: Alacranes de Durango 45%, draw 28%, Atletico Morelia 28%.
How many goals are expected in Alacranes de Durango vs Atletico Morelia?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Alacranes de Durango 1.46 · Atletico Morelia 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alacranes de Durango vs Atletico Morelia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.