Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 06/11, 02:00

Prediction: Cancun FC vs Piratas

Team pages: Cancun FC · Piratas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Cancun FC1.7

Piratas1.17

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Cancun FC Draw Piratas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cancun FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWDDWW

Piratas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWLWWD

Head-to-head

Cancun FC 1–0 Piratas (1 last)

Piratas0-1Cancun FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cancun FC	Piratas
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	3.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.7	5 / 1.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.78 → 2.78	Pinn 2.78
X	3.29 → 3.29	Pinn 3.29
2	2.52 → 2.52	Pinn 2.52

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:50 +16’	2.78	3.29	2.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cancun FC 1–0–0 Piratas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Piratas	0-1 HT 0-1	Cancun FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Atletico La Paz	15	9	3	3	36	18	30
2	Universidad Guadalajara	15	9	3	3	34	20	30
3	Atletico Morelia	15	8	2	5	26	19	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	27	15	25
5	Cancun FC	15	7	4	4	28	18	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	31	25	25
7	Alacranes de Durango	15	7	3	5	21	15	24
8	Tlaxcala FC	15	6	4	5	29	27	22
9	Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15	25	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26	26	18
11	Tapatio	15	5	3	7	25	28	18
12	Correcaminos	15	4	5	6	21	24	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	23	32	16
14	Jaiba Brava	15	4	3	8	15	25	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17	24	14
16	Tepatitlan FC	15	2	1	12	11	44	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cancun FC	Piratas
Tepatitlan FC	4-0 W	3-0 W
Venados FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Mineros de Zacatecas	2-2 D	0-3 L
Tapatio	1-0 W	1-1 D
Tlaxcala FC	1-4 L	2-4 L
Oaxaca	3-0 W	4-0 W
Dorados	1-1 D	5-0 W
Correcaminos	2-2 D	4-1 W
Cruz Azul Hidalgo	6-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Piratas (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cancun FC

WDDWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
24/10	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	4-0	2	7	W
18/10	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
11/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
04/10	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
27/09	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-4	6	6	L
20/09	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	3-0	2	8	W
16/09	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
12/09	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
06/09	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	6-0	4	5	W

Piratas

DWDWLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
25/10	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	5-0	6	4	W
18/10	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-0	11	5	W
11/10	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	2-4	4	6	L
04/10	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	4-0	11	3	W
25/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-3	7	9	L
19/09	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
11/09	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
06/09	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	4-1	5	10	W
30/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cancun FC vs Piratas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cancun FC win (49%). Probabilities: Cancun FC 49%, draw 26%, Piratas 25%.

How many goals are expected in Cancun FC vs Piratas?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Cancun FC 1.7 · Piratas 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cancun FC vs Piratas?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.