Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 16/08, 03:00
Prediction: Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC
Team pages: Dorados · Tlaxcala FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Dorados1.61
Tlaxcala FC0.94
1X2
Dorados
Draw
Tlaxcala FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dorados
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tlaxcala FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dorados
3–1–2
Tlaxcala FC
(6 last)
- Tlaxcala FC2-0Dorados
- Dorados1-1Tlaxcala FC
- Tlaxcala FC3-2Dorados
- Dorados1-0Tlaxcala FC
- Tlaxcala FC0-1Dorados
- Dorados3-1Tlaxcala FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorados (rating 1484 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Dorados: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dorados | Tlaxcala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorados 3–1–2 Tlaxcala FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tlaxcala FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
| 26/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tlaxcala FC |
| 30/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tlaxcala FC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Dorados |
| 13/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tlaxcala FC |
| 25/01/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tlaxcala FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
| 04/10/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Tlaxcala FC |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Correcaminos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Venados FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Piratas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Universidad Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alacranes de Durango | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Dorados | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Club Atletico La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Cancun FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dorados | Tlaxcala FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Oaxaca | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Tapatio | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Atlante | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Morelia | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dorados (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 15/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 09/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/02 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/02 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
Tlaxcala FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorados win (52%). Probabilities: Dorados 52%, draw 27%, Tlaxcala FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Dorados 1.61 · Tlaxcala FC 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.