Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 17/10, 03:00
Prediction: Correcaminos vs Dorados
Team pages: Correcaminos · Dorados
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Correcaminos1.96
Dorados1.31
1X2
Correcaminos
Draw
Dorados
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Correcaminos
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Dorados
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Correcaminos
3–3
Dorados
(6 last)
- Dorados2-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos1-0Dorados
- Correcaminos3-1Dorados
- Dorados3-1Correcaminos
- Dorados3-0Correcaminos
- Correcaminos2-0Dorados
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Correcaminos (rating 1496 vs 1454).
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correcaminos | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.8 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Correcaminos 3–0–3 Dorados
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Correcaminos |
| 18/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
| 21/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Dorados |
| 08/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Correcaminos |
| 14/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Correcaminos |
| 23/07/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 13 |
| 13 | Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Correcaminos | Dorados |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cancun FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Alacranes de Durango | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Morelia | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Tapatio | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 3-1 W | 3-6 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Correcaminos (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 26/09 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 06/09 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correcaminos vs Dorados?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correcaminos win (52%). Probabilities: Correcaminos 52%, draw 24%, Dorados 25%.
How many goals are expected in Correcaminos vs Dorados?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Correcaminos 1.96 · Dorados 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Correcaminos vs Dorados?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.