Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 17/07, 20:00

Prediction: EC Vitoria (W) vs Botafogo (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
EC Vitoria (W)1.22
Botafogo (W)1.58
1X2
29% 27% 45%
EC Vitoria (W) Draw Botafogo (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
EC Vitoria (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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Botafogo (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Vitoria (W) 1429 · Botafogo (W) 1427
EC Vitoria (W)DrawBotafogo (W)
Our model28%27%44%
Market29%26%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EC Vitoria (W)Botafogo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 2.70.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.40.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.92.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.14.6 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 12912 311328
2 Palmeiras (W) 12831 271027
3 Sao Paulo (W) 12822 19826
4 Ferroviaria (W) 12642 191222
5 Flamengo (W) 12642 191322
6 Bahia (W) 12633 221621
7 Cruzeiro (W) 12561 231421
8 Internacional (W) 12624 131020
9 Gremio (W) 12525 171217
10 Bragantino (W) 12525 192017
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 12444 141416
12 Santos (W) 12354 121514
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 12336 141612
14 EC Juventude (W) 12237 7129
15 Mixto EC (W) 12147 8247
16 America MG (W) 12138 6256
17 Botafogo (W) 11128 7225
18 EC Vitoria (W) 11038 7283

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEC Vitoria (W)Botafogo (W)
Atletico Mineiro (W) 1-3 L 0-2 L
EC Juventude (W) 0-3 L 3-0 W
America MG (W) 0-0 D 0-3 L
Flamengo (W) 1-3 L 1-1 D
Palmeiras (W) 0-6 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Vitoria (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-1 1-3 27 L
24/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 28 D
19/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 32 L
14/05 CE Juventude Estancia (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
2-1 3-2 14 W
11/05 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 35 L
02/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 57 D
25/04 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 55 L
04/04 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-3 13 L
27/03 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-3 54 L
22/03 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-5 0-6 22 L

Botafogo (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/05 EC Juventude (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 3-0 15 W
24/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 125 L
19/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 26 L
11/05 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 71 L
03/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 05 L
28/04 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 68 L
04/04 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 62 D
27/03 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 1-3 23 L
21/03 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-2 65 L
13/03 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-1 48 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Vitoria (W) vs Botafogo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Botafogo (W) win (45%). Probabilities: EC Vitoria (W) 29%, draw 27%, Botafogo (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in EC Vitoria (W) vs Botafogo (W)?

The model expects 2.8 goals (EC Vitoria (W) 1.22 · Botafogo (W) 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Vitoria (W) vs Botafogo (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.