Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 25/07, 21:00

Prediction: Mixto EC (W) vs Palmeiras (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Mixto EC (W)0.39
Palmeiras (W)2.39
1X2
5% 13% 83%
Mixto EC (W) Draw Palmeiras (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Mixto EC (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLDLLL
Palmeiras (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mixto EC (W) 1433 · Palmeiras (W) 1582
Mixto EC (W)DrawPalmeiras (W)
Our model4%15%81%
Market5%11%84%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (W) (rating 1433 vs 1582).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mixto EC (W)Palmeiras (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.92.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.11.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.33.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.8 / 0.3

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 12912 311328
2 Palmeiras (W) 12831 271027
3 Sao Paulo (W) 12822 19826
4 Ferroviaria (W) 12642 191222
5 Flamengo (W) 12642 191322
6 Bahia (W) 12633 221621
7 Cruzeiro (W) 12561 231421
8 Internacional (W) 12624 131020
9 Gremio (W) 12525 171217
10 Bragantino (W) 12525 192017
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 12444 141416
12 Santos (W) 12354 121514
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 12336 141612
14 EC Juventude (W) 12237 7129
15 Mixto EC (W) 12147 8247
16 EC Vitoria (W) 12138 9286
17 America MG (W) 12138 6256
18 Botafogo (W) 12129 7245

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMixto EC (W)Palmeiras (W)
Corinthians (W) 1-4 L 0-1 L
Ferroviaria (W) 0-3 L 1-2 L
Bragantino (W) 1-3 L 2-1 W
Botafogo (W) 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Palmeiras (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mixto EC (W)

WDDLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 1-4 37 L
16/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 21 L
14/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-1 56 L
09/05 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 54 D
01/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 12 L
26/04 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 43 L
21/04 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 1-3 30 L
03/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 63 D
28/03 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 24 D
21/03 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-1 25 W

Palmeiras (W)

WWDWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 51 W
13/07 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
3-0 3-1 33 W
10/07 Paraguay (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
2-0 3-0 90 W
30/05 Corinthians (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-1 76 L
24/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 2-1 66 W
21/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-2 34 L
19/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 56 W
15/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 0-0 36 D
12/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 4-1 84 W
06/05 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
5-0 5-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mixto EC (W) vs Palmeiras (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Palmeiras (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Mixto EC (W) 5%, draw 13%, Palmeiras (W) 83%.

How many goals are expected in Mixto EC (W) vs Palmeiras (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Mixto EC (W) 0.39 · Palmeiras (W) 2.39), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Mixto EC (W) vs Palmeiras (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.