Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 25/07, 22:00
Prediction: Bragantino (W) vs Atletico Mineiro (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Bragantino (W)1.94
Atletico Mineiro (W)1.14
1X2
Bragantino (W)
Draw
Atletico Mineiro (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bragantino (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Mineiro (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bragantino (W)
1–2–1
Atletico Mineiro (W)
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bragantino (W) 1537 · Atletico Mineiro (W) 1523
| Bragantino (W) | Draw | Atletico Mineiro (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bragantino (W) | Atletico Mineiro (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bragantino (W) 1–2–1 Atletico Mineiro (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Bragantino (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Mineiro (W) |
| 06/06/22 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bragantino (W) |
| 07/09/21 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bragantino (W) |
| 30/08/21 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women | Bragantino (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Mineiro (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians (W) | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo (W) | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Internacional (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 9 | Gremio (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Bragantino (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
| 11 | Fluminense RJ (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | Santos (W) | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | EC Juventude (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | Mixto EC (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 6 |
| 17 | America MG (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 6 |
| 18 | Botafogo (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bragantino (W) | Atletico Mineiro (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Palmeiras (W) | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Sao Paulo (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Santos (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bragantino (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bragantino (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Botafogo (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Sao Jose SP (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Corinthians (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Taubate (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Atletico Mineiro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | EC Vitoria (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | America MG (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 28/04 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/03 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bragantino (W) vs Atletico Mineiro (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bragantino (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Bragantino (W) 54%, draw 25%, Atletico Mineiro (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Bragantino (W) vs Atletico Mineiro (W)?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Bragantino (W) 1.94 · Atletico Mineiro (W) 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bragantino (W) vs Atletico Mineiro (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.