Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: EC Juventude (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
EC Juventude (W)0.61
Ferroviaria (W)1.8
1X2
12% 23% 66%
EC Juventude (W) Draw Ferroviaria (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
EC Juventude (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDWLDL
Ferroviaria (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
EC Juventude (W) 0–1 Ferroviaria (W) (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude (W) 1436 · Ferroviaria (W) 1596
EC Juventude (W)DrawFerroviaria (W)
Our model11%24%65%
Market12%22%66%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferroviaria (W) (rating 1436 vs 1596).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EC Juventude (W)Ferroviaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.32.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.31.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 3.21.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.24 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude (W) 001 Ferroviaria (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Ferroviaria (W)2-0
HT 0-0
EC Juventude (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 12912 311328
2 Palmeiras (W) 12831 271027
3 Sao Paulo (W) 12822 19826
4 Ferroviaria (W) 12642 191222
5 Flamengo (W) 12642 191322
6 Bahia (W) 12633 221621
7 Cruzeiro (W) 12561 231421
8 Internacional (W) 12624 131020
9 Gremio (W) 12525 171217
10 Bragantino (W) 12525 192017
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 12444 141416
12 Santos (W) 12354 121514
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 12336 141612
14 EC Juventude (W) 12237 7129
15 Mixto EC (W) 12147 8247
16 EC Vitoria (W) 12138 9286
17 America MG (W) 12138 6256
18 Botafogo (W) 12129 7245

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEC Juventude (W)Ferroviaria (W)
EC Vitoria (W) 3-0 W 2-0 W
Corinthians (W) 0-1 L 1-0 W
Flamengo (W) 1-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Juventude (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/05 Botafogo (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-3 105 L
24/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 34 D
19/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 55 W
01/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
26/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
21/04 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 01 L
01/04 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 15 L
27/03 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
22/03 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-2 14 L

Ferroviaria (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Corinthians (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 1-0 18 W
18/07 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 0-1 21 L
28/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
5-0 8-0 153 W
24/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 3-2 66 W
21/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 2-1 24 W
19/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 82 W
14/05 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 4-0 43 W
12/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 410 D
07/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 2-1 64 W
01/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-0 92 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferroviaria (W) win (66%). Probabilities: EC Juventude (W) 12%, draw 23%, Ferroviaria (W) 66%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model expects 2.41 goals (EC Juventude (W) 0.61 · Ferroviaria (W) 1.8), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.