Prediction: Corinthians (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)
| Corinthians (W) | Draw | EC Vitoria (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 85% | 9% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (W) (rating 1583 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Corinthians (W): 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Corinthians (W) | EC Vitoria (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians (W) 2–0–0 EC Vitoria (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/20 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Corinthians (W) | 6-0 | EC Vitoria (W) |
| 04/08/19 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Corinthians (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | EC Vitoria (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians (W) | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo (W) | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Internacional (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 9 | Gremio (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Bragantino (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
| 11 | Fluminense RJ (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | Santos (W) | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | EC Juventude (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | Mixto EC (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 6 |
| 17 | America MG (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 6 |
| 18 | Botafogo (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Corinthians (W) | EC Vitoria (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ferroviaria (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Cruzeiro (W) | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gremio (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corinthians (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ferroviaria (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Palmeiras (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
EC Vitoria (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 19/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | CE Juventude Estancia (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | America MG (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corinthians (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Corinthians (W) 81%, draw 12%, EC Vitoria (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Corinthians (W) 2.96 · EC Vitoria (W) 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Corinthians (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.